On a quick count elections (elections ) in 2014 showed legislative achievement of the Indonesian Democratic Party - Struggle ( PDI - P ) was slightly below estimates . Base of support for the presidential candidate , Jakarta Governor Joko Widodo , seemingly segempar analyst estimates .
Calculate quickly by a number of institutions that gained sound show PDI - P on Wednesday Election in numbers ranging from 19 % . Vote for the Golkar Party ( Golkar ) , which led Bakrie, recorded a little under 15 % . These figures are from several agencies that issued the results of a quick count , the Center for Strategic and International Studies , Saiful Mujani Research Center , and Political Indicators Indonesia.
In the third place , the Great Indonesia Movement Party ( Gerindra ) Prabowo driven to record the results of 12 % of the vote , based on a quick count .
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The numbers indicate the expectation of Joko Widodo or Jokowi has been " exaggerated " , says David Sumual , an economist at Bank Central Asia .
Various pre- election surveys to estimate the popularity of Jokowi as someone who can bring a clean and simple 25 % or more for the PDI - P .
Achievement of voice in legislative elections directly influence the presidential election in July. The party that gets 25 % of the total national vote , or 20 % of the 560-seat House of Representatives ( DPR ) , allowed to nominate candidates for president . Party with a number under it must form a coalition in order to reach that threshold . The official results of legislative election itself will be published in May.
" Quick count results imply only three presidential candidates are likely to go ahead in the Presidential election , the candidate of the PDI - P , Golkar , and Gerindra , " said Omar Bakry , executive director of the National Survey Institute .
" Other parties seem to be choosing to channel support to one of the three candidates , " said Bakry . " [ Consideration ] is what will get the other parties . " Usually the position of vice president became the bargain .
These results " show ' effect Jokowi ' failed , " said Vitello Samarin , vice rector of the University of Paramadina . " Black campaign by various parties to the PDI - P and Jokowi seems to succeed . "
With this result , analysts expect Jokowi choice for vice president will be affected . He was forced to withdraw the possibility of a candidate from the other major party .
Bakry assess the composition of the Parliament will be fragmented , making it difficult to make decisions in Senayan . Likely there will be friction between the partners in any coalition that emerged , he said .
Democrats lost many votes in this election . The owner of seats in the House today , Democrats left in the fourth position . Its popularity was hit by corruption scandals in recent years .
A quick count system is used to estimate the achievement of each party's voice , by counting each ballot paper at a polling sample . In previous elections , the results of this system proved to be a reliable indicator of the official results .
Elections run smoothly and safely around 500 thousand polling stations in the archipelago . Residents are entitled to vote on Wednesday carrying approximately 180 million people . There are no official estimates of the number who actually chose .
" The bargaining power of the PDI- P is now the most powerful " than all the other parties , said economist Eric Sugandi of Standard Chartered . " The market will wait for what the coalition will be formed . "WSJ
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