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Monday, April 7, 2014

Election : Opportunities Determining Direction

Election : Opportunities Determining Direction

Indonesian residents will flock to the polls on Wednesday . Not only for the people's representatives , they will also determine which party has the right to nominate a candidate for President .

After 10 years , led by President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono ( SBY ) , a large number of people urged a change of national leadership . Elections (elections ) will be an early marker of legislative choice of the people : Is Indonesia prefers longer formidable figure , or a new face with a populist approach ?

The main populist candidate this year falls on Jakarta Governor , Joko Widodo, who is familiarly called Jokowi . Wednesday's elections will be the first test of Presidential contest Jokowi ahead of next July . As a candidate for President of the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle ( PDI - P ) , Jokowi topped opinion surveys in recent times .

Of conventional camp , appears the name Prabowo . Former Kopassus commander came forward as a candidate from the Great Indonesia Movement Party ( Gerindra ) . Some prospective voters judge Prabowo strict enough and worthy leadership, after years of controlled SBY .

Legislative elections will also be marked by political bargaining parties to draw up the coalition . Of the nine parties in the House of Representatives ( DPR ) today, six of which form is the opposition coalition and three . April 9 elections could potentially reduce the number of parties in the House .


The results of several surveys estimate there are only three parties could easily submit a candidate for President . Click to see a larger graphic .
" Maybe there will be some party [ excluded ] , so that the coalition formation process will not be too complicated , " said Doug Ramage , a political analyst from Bower Group Asia .

The two parties are expected to top the weekend 's election results are PDI - P and Golkar . Instruments of former President Suharto 's political chose Bakrie as Presidential candidate . Some surveys show the two parties will probably win 40 % of the total 560 seats in the House .

If that happens , Ramage said , " You got two major parties who pocketed almost half the seats [ DPR ] . The proportions are more stable than the experience [ Indonesia ] before. "

A total of 12 parties competing in the election on Wednesday. Over the past month , they rally support on the streets . Some even use military-style frills , reminisce about the past Indonesian leadership .

PDI - P , which excels in various surveys , adopting the slogan " Wonderful Indonesia . " Slogan was referring to the leadership of the first president Sukarno , for 20 years in Indonesia .

Meanwhile Gerindra and Prabowo approach millions of young voters through social media campaigns are aggressively . Moreover , in one of his campaign , he appeared to the masses by riding horses and harness military background in order to create a strong image of the leader .

Each party must receive at least 20 % or 25% of seats in the House in order to be able to get representatives on the Presidential elections in July . Parties can form a coalition to reach the threshold . Only Golkar , PDI - P , and Gerindra who have the possibility to reap enough votes to pass its own presidential candidate .

Democratic Party , which in the 2009 legislative election securing more than 20 % of the vote , predicted would not be able to pass the candidate after the party faces a number of corruption scandals tarnished ..

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Chairman of the PDI - P , Megawati Sukarnoputri , daughter of Sukarno and the Indonesian president in 2001-2004 , has decided not to go forward as a presidential candidate in the presidential election this time in order to give room for Jokowi .

However , last Saturday , the last day of the campaign , he threw the phrase that commonly arise when the campaign . " We want all farmers own land , " he said . " Health should be better , the children must go to school . "

Most of the party promising better education and health care more affordable . The parties also echoes calls for no longer too to rely on imports .

Gerindra exuded nationalist sentiment by promoting six action plans . Their focus is to increase food sovereignty , protection of traditional markets , and the provision of land for farmers .

Effendi Gazali , a professor of political communication at the University of Indonesia , said the pressure to take protectionist measures is likely to strengthen the new government later . However , he said , the policy would fall sharply in the direction of nationalization . " All parties realize the importance of foreign capital , " he said .

In recent weeks , a number of pollsters have released reports that polls show a sharp increase in support for the PDI - P since Jokowi proclaimed as a presidential candidate in mid-March .

" I like the PDI - P . However , I chose it because there Jokowi , "said Setiawan Harianto , 17 -year -old voters . " I like [ Jokowi ] because he always wants to hear people's aspirations . I want Indonesia to be a great country . "WSJ

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