Aher and Deddy Mizwar the votes 30.8 percent of 1,250 respondents were surveyed on 2-7 February 2013 ago. While the level of electability Dede with his partner Lex admiral reached 27.4 percent.

Aher and Deddy Mizwar the votes 30.8 percent of 1,250 respondents were surveyed on 2-7 February 2013 ago. While the level of electability Dede with his partner Lex admiral reached 27.4 percent.

The survey results and the Strategic Development Research Center (Puskaptis), indicating gubernatorial candidate Dede Yusuf promoted and Ahmad Heryawan Democrats who championed the Prosperous Justice Party (PKS) competing. Both have a chance to win Pilgub Jabar.

Aher and Deddy Mizwar the votes 30.8 percent of 1,250 respondents were surveyed on 2-7 February 2013 ago. While the level of electability Dede with his partner Lex admiral reached 27.4 percent.

The third position is occupied by a couple Rieke Dyah Pitaloka and Teten Masduki with 18.40 percent. While in fourth and fifth respectively occupied by couples Irianto MS Saifuddin (Yance) and Tatang Farhanul with 15.20 per cent and the couple Dikdik M Arief and Cecef Nana Suryana Toyib who got 1.76 percent of the votes of respondents.

With an error rate of approximately 1.5 to 2.8 percent of the survey with 95 percent confidence level, the difference in sound Aher / Demiz (ADEM) and Dede-Lex Admiral (wagon) is not statistically significant. That is, it could be really gig that was in the first position, slightly higher than ADEM.

When compared to the first survey Puskaptis November 2012, ADEM support deficit by 4% while the wagon to increase elektabilitasnya about 6% in 2 months. Images electability in November 2012 and are: Aher-Deddy achievement ranks first with 34.8 percent. Clinging to the next sequence is Dede Yusuf-Lex Lakshman the electability of 21.2 percent. While the third is Rieke Dyah Pitaloka-Teten Masduki with 15.7 percent.

Then Irianto MS Syaifiuddin or Yance-Tatang Farhanul Judge to 7.3 percent. While the duo Dikdik Mulyana Arif Mansur-Cecelia Nana Suryana Toyib bloated ranks by just 1.9 percent.

The increase electability pair Delman, Nengtet (Oneng-Teten) and basket (Irianto-Tatang) followed by a decline in floating voters from 19% to just 6.8% in early February 2013. This means that, before the election, the respondent firm of his choice, and tend not to choose ADEM.

The survey was held just after the arrest of President PKS time by KPK. Perhaps that explains the falling support for ADEM to 4%.

Surveys by other agencies, LSI, which was held in mid-January 2013, showed couples superior wagon with ADEM reached 35.8%, while 27.4%. But this survey targeting fewer respondents (only 440) and a 4.8% error rate. Essentially the same, ADEM and the wagon still can exchange positions.

How is the end result?

My prediction, the winner will pocket a voice pilgub Jabar around 31% only. He can ADEM or wagon. That is, pilgub will only last one round. Be thankful. Since this means saving energy costs and also the election of the people (bad news for consultant surveys, hehehe ...). If up to 2 rounds, ADEM and the wagon will fight again head-to-head. When that happens, it's almost certainly retain the throne pupuslah ADEM hopes Jabar 1.


Whoever the winner on this pilgub, whether ADEM or wagon, it must be remembered that they will achieve the sound a little over 30%. That is, almost 70% of voters actually turn them down. But that's democracy.