Indonesian Research Center (IRC) and the Center for Policy Studies and Strategic Development (Puskaptis), the two surveys are quick count results of his won-Hatta Rajasa Prabowo, expressed readiness to be examined and audited by the ethics board of the survey.
Two of these institutions feel there is nothing wrong with a quick count July 9, 2014 Presidential Election, because using the research methodology and the correct sampling.
"It's easy if you actually want to be audited. Staying checked on our website, just checked that we went to the polling station. No problem at all, "said the Head of Research of the IRC, Yunita Mandolang, the polemic discussion Sindo Radio in Warung Daun, Jalan Cikini Raya, Central Jakarta, Saturday (12/07/2014).
With the audit, he added, everything can be clear and transparent. It also will not continuously referred to as the pollsters wrong.
In line with Yunita, Executive Director Puskaptis, Yazid Hussein, was ready if the institution audited.
"We as an agency under the auspices of the association, is always ready to be audited. Why should wait no problem like this before. The audit is usually three months or once a year, "he said.
However, he asserts that the board conduct a survey to be neutral. Because, at this time there are two associations that houses the pollsters, the perception and Iropi.
"The perception of ethics board members Saiful Mujani. How he wants to check if her agency (SMRC) also surveys. If Iropi that Denny JA, institution (LSI) survey also. Period would audit yourself, "he said.
A spokesman Prabowo pair-Hatta Rajasa Tantowi Yahya, acknowledging that people are puzzled by the results of the presidential election quick count on July 9, 2014. Coupled with the leadership statement pollsters considered provocative.
Indicators such as the Executive Director of Political brags Indonesai Burhanuddin Muhtadi one who called the Commission, when it is not in accordance with the results of computation institution.
People can be provoked. Especially if brags Commission should not differ with him. Has been misguided, it only has the absolute truth of God Almighty, "said Tantowi when discussions Sindo Radio, Jakarta, Saturday (07/13/2014).
The statement, said Tantowi, already ahead and fence off the election organizers Pemilihann Commission (KPU), which has the authority to do the recapitulation.
"What if the Commission intimidated? Does the office will be destroyed? Though we already spend enormous funds from the state budget, I really regret it," he said.
Previously, Executive Director Indicator Burhanuddin Muhtadi feel quick count results conducted institution is correct. Even aloud, Burhanuddin Commission accused one if its count real results differ from the results of the quick count hers.
Indicators of political or Burhanuddin led pollsters is one reference pollsters presidential and vice presidential spouse Jokowi-JK. In a quick count conducted Burhanuddin, Jokowi-JK won the 2014 presidential election with the acquisition of 52.95 per cent. While the pair number 1 candidate Prabowo-Hatta Rajasa gained 47.05 percent.
Former researcher of the Institute for Research, Education, and Economic and Social Affairs (LP3ES), the Supreme Prihatna, admitted today many commercial pollsters. As a result, people feel the results of their scientific research.
"We lost pollsters in the middle, unaffiliated, and it makes people prejudiced on both sides Polster (pollsters), many commercial," said General Discussion Debate in Sindo Radio at Warung Daun Restaurant, Central Jakarta, Saturday (07/12/2014).
Court explained, the results of a survey of different common and there should not be any pollsters claim the correct computation results. "Statistics is the science that allow users to be wrong, there should be no agency told us the most right," he said.
Although, in the community often appears the assumption that the surveys are quick in making the release will be credible and rigorous. As a result, many organizations are racing to soon release the results.
Another thing that is often a gap deviation is practice in the field, such as the sampling distribution. Court said, pollsters often do not look at in a region grouping tendency to favor one party.
"If it's not careful distribution and random numbers drawn, of course, the tendency will prevail. Practice that is sometimes overlooked," said Agung.
As known, the current split pollsters in both parties. In fact, the results of which states that won a fast count Jokowi-JK as true, if the results differ Commission, the Commission is doing the wrong count.
Executive Director of the Center for Policy Studies and Strategic Development (Puskaptis), Husin Yazid, asserted, fast or quick count count their current presidential election (election) July 9, 2014 has been through a stage right.
This is confirmed Husin because the agency often gets scorn not competent to conduct the survey.
The method used in the 2014 presidential election quick count is a multi-stage random sampling with a margin of error of plus or minus 1 percent and the 99 percent confidence level.
"Then the samples fixtures we've done in detail based on scientific theory and can be accounted for," said Husin when Sindo Radio Discussion polemic entitled "Republic of Quick Count" at Warung Daun, Jalan Cikini Raya, Central Jakarta, Jakarta, Saturday (12/7 / 2014).
Husin added that they use a sample of 1,250 spread over 135 to 150 counties and cities in 33 provinces.
In collecting the data, deploying Puskaptis 625 surveyors and served at 1-2 TPS. Husin underscores, data sent to the center has been signed by the Chairman KPPS and witnesses.
"That is what we are doing is based on a scientific theory that is true and can dipertanggngjawabkan. Then the remaining life quick count at 13:00 pm until 17:00 pm Wednesday. After that we beracuan to the real count of the Commission, "he said.
As information, Puskaptis released a quick count of votes Prabowo-Hatta Rajasa 52.05 percent, while Joko Widodo Jusuf Kalla-47.95 percent.
Spokesman mate Prabowo-Hatta Rajasa, Tantowi Yahya, deplores the declaration of victory-camp Joko Widodo Jusuf Kalla is just based on a quick count pollsters.
If there are four pairs kanidadat presidential election and one candidate announced a major victory, Tantowi said, people will beg a reasonable claim because the vote will be a lot split.
"If I serobot, claims, surely there would be the react. Moreover door (the survey agency) that we believe to be of various elections is often true," said Tantowi in Sindo Trijaya polemic discussion, in Cikini, Central Jakarta, Saturday (07/12/2014 ).
Tantowi said, actually no problem Jokowi-JK declaration of victory by a quick count, with some notes. One of them fatsun politics, as adopted by democracies like the United States, the candidate who will coordinate with the first declaration of his political opponents in the contestation.
"She had to telephone his opponent. Perhaps my baseball declaration, if there realize the lost, yes please., But if the other party says not yet, because we've got the calculations, there is no declaration," said Tantowi.
As known, the two sides each candidate pair claimed that they had been the winner. Because each faction has a different survey results of the survey agency.
Executive Director of the Center for Policy Studies and Strategic Development (Puskaptis), Husin Yazid, asserted, fast or quick count count their current presidential election (election) July 9, 2014 has been through a stage right.
This is confirmed Husin because the agency often gets scorn not competent to conduct the survey.
The method used in the 2014 presidential election quick count is a multi-stage random sampling with a margin of error of plus or minus 1 percent and the 99 percent confidence level.
"Then the samples fixtures we've done in detail based on scientific theory and can be accounted for," said Husin when Sindo Radio Discussion polemic entitled "Republic of Quick Count" at Warung Daun, Jalan Cikini Raya, Central Jakarta, Jakarta, Saturday (12/7 / 2014).
Husin added that they use a sample of 1,250 spread over 135 to 150 counties and cities in 33 provinces.
In collecting the data, deploying Puskaptis 625 surveyors and served at 1-2 TPS. Husin underscores, data sent to the center has been signed by the Chairman KPPS and witnesses.
"That is what we are doing is based on a scientific theory that is true and can dipertanggngjawabkan. Then the remaining life quick count at 13:00 pm until 17:00 pm Wednesday. After that we beracuan to the real count of the Commission, "he said.
As information, Puskaptis released a quick count of votes Prabowo-Hatta Rajasa 52.05 percent, while Joko Widodo Jusuf Kalla-47.95 percent
Claim victory pollsters Pro-Joko Widodo Jusuf Kalla (JK Jokowi) stating its quick count results is most correct is arrogant attitude.
The former spokesman for President Abdurrahman Wahid alias Gus Dur, Adhie Massardi said, quoted claim victory was conducted by pollsters who already do not have Integrity. "That statement is arrogant, because all pollsters in the country has lost integrity and credibility," he told Okezone, Saturday (12/07/2014).
The facts are revealed Adhie, that they want to work on a fee paid by the buyer or political concessions. "So, all of that is done in the interest of their clients. Did not matter that undermine democratic climate," he said.
As is known, the Director of Indonesian Political Indicators (IPI), Burhanuddin Muhtadi which became one of the pollsters Jokowi pro-JK through its quick count to win the pair number two. He believes that the rapid count correctly. In fact, he pointed that the real count count KPU much different from the calculation results, the Commission has been miscounted.
IPI is one of the pollsters Jokowi pro-JK, there are still a number of pollsters who won the Great pair berjargon Indonesia, the Indonesian Survey Circle (LSI), Populi Center, CSIS, Research Compass, RRI, Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting ( SMRC), and Poltracking Institute Okezone
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