Presidential Election Final results on Wednesday, July 9, 2014 may differ from the results of a quick count (quick count) were reported by several surveys. Observers suggest to wait for the results of real arithmetic (real count) which will be announced on July 22.
"I think the end result must wait for the final calculation of the General Elections Commission (KPU). Because usually quick count can be different from the real count, "said political analyst UB, Khairul Muluk told reporters on Thursday (07/10/2014) night.
At a quick count released by the Indonesian Survey Circle (LSI), Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) and the Indonesian Political Indicator (IPI) showed pair-vice presidential candidates and Joko Widodo Jusuf Kalla wins over Prabowo and Hatta Rajasa. IPI figures show 52.76 percent for Jokowi-JK and 47.24 percent for Prabowo-Hatta. While SMRC shows Jokowi-JK and Prabowo won 52.99 percent-47.01 percent reaching Hatta.
According Muluk, the difference between the two is the range of 3 percent margin of error. So in real count could be that one pair could rise by 3 percent while others may fall by 3 percent. "If the calculation of the quick count there are in that range, then it could be the end result will be different from the real count," said Muluk.
But if nearly all pollsters have similar and consistent results, then the estate will tend to count the same as the quick count. "The problem in the presidential election this time, not all pollsters had similar results. There are a couple of quick count results different pollsters, "said Muluk.
Survey agencies such as the Centre for Policy Studies and Strategic Development (Puskaptis), Indonesian Voice Network (JSI) and the Indonesian Research Centre (IRC) and the National Survey Institute (LSN) announces that the results of the quick count was 50.22 percent for those Prabowo-Hatta Rajasa and 49.78 percent for Jokowi-JK. This survey institutions have a different opinion with the three institutions mentioned earlier.
"If there are differences in the results of the survey agency, the dependence on the real count greater. Therefore the advice of the President of Indonesia Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, the better we wait for the results of KPU real count, "said Muluk. KPU real count will be announced on July 22.
Recapitulation process is being done in the area requires the active participation of the community. Commissioner of the General Elections Commission (KPU) Hadar Nafis Gumay provide tips for people who want to monitor the process.
First, Hadar said, come to the recapitulation process takes place and monitor whether there are suspicious things there.
"Just follow the meeting is open or not. If hiding-hiding means something, if they count it in the hotel room, report! "He said when met at the Commission, Jalan Imam Bonjol, Central Jakarta, Thursday, July 10, 2014.
If you have more energy, he added, follow a tiered process that is done by recording the number of votes to be monitored polling stations.
"The results at the polling stations affixed. Now note if you want to really follow how the candidate pairs (voice number). So this can be recapitulated by now oh why this difference with the note, "he pointed out.
Male graduate of Purdue University that asked people not to create excitement in the forum if you find a discrepancy rate recapitulation. Report any findings to the witness who was on duty and then followed up.
If not allowed to go into space recapitulation, former professor of Sociology asking people to understand the limitations of the capacity of the room.
The presence of people in the recapitulation can minimize the occurrence of fraud, "Commission Member so be careful because a lot of watchable. So he wants weaving weaving what number has also been difficult. So the presence alone was enough to give the effect of, "he said.
Finally, he said, people can not directly report if find cheating. There are mechanisms that must be followed. "If all we can say difficult. So that's the recap forum voting rights are witnesses. So Leave it to the witness or through the Supervisory Committee, "he concluded.
Megawati action similar victory celebration speech-pair Joko Widodo Jusuf Kalla after Presidential Election (Election) was held on Wednesday (9/7) is considered as unethical behavior because of the quick count results are not yet final and binding.
"As the former President of Indonesia, Megawati should have ethics, law abiding with respect to the decision of the General Elections Commission (KPU). He should wait for the real count, "said political analyst UB communication, Anang Sujoko to the media, Thursday (10/07/2014) night.
According to him, Megawati too rash to assume that the results of surveys are carried win a pair Megawati camp, as a benchmark victory. "This is tantamount to the opinion that the convoy Jokowi and JK is the winner. Though we have to wait two more weeks to get certainty Commission, who won the presidential election this time, "said Anand.
The opinion of driving is very dangerous for the people of Indonesia because it will lead to conflict and could lead to chaos. "Regardless of whether or not the quick count, speech-JK Jokowi victory declaration could potentially conflict because the pair actually carried PDIP, PKB, Hanura, and PKPI Nasdem is not absolutely superior," said Anand.
According to him, not all institutions that conduct quick count survey stated Jokowi-JK wins. "If a lot of people have different opinions, conflicts arise and ultimately chaos could happen," said Anand.
Wednesday afternoon when a new presidential election in some of the city were closed, Chairman of the Democratic Party of Struggle Megawati Sukarnoputri declared presidential candidates Joko Widodo and mate Jusuf Kalla as president and vice-president of Indonesia from 2014 to 2019 period. The declaration was made at home Megawati in Kebagusan, South Jakarta.
Megawati's speech reads "Thank God that we have witnessed the rapid calculation process, the engineer whose name pair Joko Widodo Jusuf Kalla with Hajj can be expressed as President in 2014 until 2019 version of the quick count".
After Megawati, Joko Widodo Jusuf Kalla and turns giving speeches.
"This speech as President endorsed the version of the quick count, whereas the quick count results may differ from the real count," said Anand.
The declaration was made by Megawati based on results of the quick count survey several institutions such as the Indonesian Survey Circle (LSI), Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) and the Indonesian Political Indicators (IPI). They announced that Jokowi - JK wins over Prabowo-Hatta Rajasa with 52.99 percent and 47.01 percent. Metro TV also did a quick count by the results Jokowi-JK reached 52.7 percent, while 47.3 percent Prabowo-Hatta. Difference in the two ranges of 5.5 percent.
Vice Chairman of the Witness and the Legal Team Winning Prabowo-Hatta Rajasa, Taufik Ridho, said the results represent the real count provisional victory-vice presidential candidate number 1 in the Presidential Election (Election) 2014.
Based on incoming data until around 18:20 pm, an incoming voice had 82,975,065 or 60 percent. Prabowo-Hatta ahead with the acquisition of 42,874,556 or 51.67 percent of the vote, while Jokowi-JK acquire 40,100,509 or 48.33 percent.
"Usually 60 percent already represent trends that lead to it (victory). Although we do not claim to be absolute, this data is initially only for our internal, "said Taufik in Polonia House, Jalan Cipinang-Cempedak, East Jakarta, Thursday, July 10, 2014 night.
Taufik said the pair carried by the Coalition Red White was superior in a number of provinces. Moreover, in West Java which is often used as a benchmark of national victory, mate Prabowo-Hatta winning by a vote of more than 60 percent while 35 percent Jokowi-JK.
Here are some real results count while in several areas:
1. Aceh, Prabowo-Hatta 67.37% 32.63% Jokowi-JK,
2. Northern Sumatra, Prabowo-Hatta 50.02% 49.98% Jokowi-JK,
3. Sumatera Barat, Prabowo-Hatta 82.65% 17.5% Jokowi-JK,
4. Riau, Prabowo-Hatta 50.41% 49.59% Jokowi-JK,
5. Bengkulu, Prabowo-Hatta 45.35% 54.65% Jokowi-JK,
6. Jambi, Prabowo-Hatta 49.4%, 50.6% Jokowi-JK,
7. South Sumatra, Prabowo-Hatta 57.48% 42.52% Jokowi-JK,
8. Lampung, Prabowo-Hatta 49.03% 50.97% Jokowi-JK,
9. Bangka Belitung, Prabowo-Hatta 33% Jokowo-JK 67%,
10. Riau Islands, Prabowo-Hatta 45.27% 54.73% Jokowi-JK,
11. DKI Jakarta, Prabowo-Hatta 46.78% 53.22% Jokowi-JK,
12. The Central Java-Hatta Prabowo 35.58% 64.42% Jokowi-JK,
13. DIY, Prabowo-Hatta 44.21% 55.79% Jokowi-JK.
Winning team members Prabowo-Hatta Rajasa, Tantowi Yahya, asserts, the real count results issued by the Coalition of the Red and White teams is not intended to dictate the General Elections Commission (KPU).
"Real is not to dictate count Commission," he said in the House of Polonia, Cipinang-Cempedak Road, East Jakarta, Thursday (10/07/2014).
It still refers to the recapitulation of the Commission issued on July 22, 2014. Whatever the outcome, he stated, Prabowo team-Hatta will honor it.
He also did not dismiss when there are real people who judge the results of this count as a claim form.
"Nah yes. If you want to say please claim. Kan later assess public and please see the end result in the Commission. It is also not dictate the Commission, "he said.
In addition, continued Wasekjen Golkar Party, he hopes the Commission is not affected by the results of the quick count survey released seven institutions. A total win-JK Jokowi.
"They were a monopoly of truth. Nothing really except that pollsters survey they win, "said the man, who also serves as the Winning Team spokesman Prabowo-Hatta it.
For that he was again called upon all parties to respect the counting process which could be announced KPU.
Previously, Prabowo-Hatta camp released the results of a real count. Counted until around 18:20 pm last, the number of votes cast 82,975,065 votes or 60 percent. Prabowo-Hatta gained 42,874,556 votes or 51.67 percent and Jokowi-JK 40,100,509 or 48.33 percent.
Prabowo stronghold-Hatta Rajasa released provisional results of real internal count. The data collected from the vote totals approximately 470 thousand more witnesses are assigned at polling stations throughout Indonesia.
The results show the real count numbered 1 winning pair of pair number 2, Joko Widodo-Jusuf Kalla (JK Jokowi).
Deputy Head of Legal Team Winning Witness and Prabowo-Hatta, Taufik Ridho, say, the total sound that has entered as many as 82,975,065 or 60 percent.
"Prabowo-Hatta Rajasa acquire 42,874,556 or 51.67 percent of the vote and Jokowi-JK 40,100,509, or 48.33 per cent," he said in the House of Polonia, Cipinang-Cempedak Road, East Jakarta, Thursday (09/10/2014) .
Taufik said, his team obtained data collected by Form C1 of all witnesses. There are approximately 470 thousand witnesses who deployed in all polling stations in Indonesia.
He added that the actual calculation for internal purposes because it will be used for comparative results KPU real count. However, after discussion it was finally delivered to the public.
"Because in the area-Hatta Prabowo supporters want to know the real result of this count," he concluded.
Hundreds of orphans presented in the Winning Team Prabowo post-Hatta Rajasa rate in Bandung West Java, on Thursday (10/07/2014). They are presented in the framework of celebration of victory Prabowo-Hatta in the 2014 presidential election.
"It's Thanksgiving, right down to the streets rather than busy to celebrate the victory, was passable so we invite orphans," said Chairman of the Campaign Team Prabowo-Hatta Rajasa Levels West Java, Ahmad Heryawan (Aher).
So far, he and his entire campaign team believes that Prabowo-Hatta is the winner of the 2014 presidential election. Moreover, based on the results of the quick count internally, Prabowo voice-Hatta obtain 61 percent in West Java.
"Certainly there is confidence, there is hope that the win was clearly Prabowo-Hatta," he explained.
Meanwhile, the current DPW PKS West Java still do real count to determine the final election results in West Java.
"The completion do not know how many days. Clearly hopefully soon, "he said.
But clearly, the final results will be announced the Commission. "We wait, as recommended by the President, hold the manual tabulation of the Commission," he concluded. OKEZONE
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