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Monday, March 10, 2014

Fund : real risk of deflation in the euro area

 Fund : real risk of deflation in the euro area


Chief economist of the International Monetary Fund ( IMF ) believes that the risk of deflation in the euro area is real , German daily Handelsblatt reported on Monday ( 10/3 ) .

IMF chief economist Olivier Blanchard warned in an interview with the Handelsblatt daily that portion of the site published in the newspaper , inflation remains positive but the risk of deflation in the euro area remains in compliance with the initial scenarios from the donor agencies .

He argued that deflation will increase the debt burden even in the southern periphery countries , such as Portugal and Spain due to increase competitiveness there .

The negative effects would outweigh the advantages and can make lower economic output , Blanchard cautioned .

Commenting on the monetary policy stance of the European Central Bank ( ECB ) , Blanchard believes that there is still room for expansionary monetary policy even though the central bank has lowered interest rates as far as possible .

Last week , the ECB decided to keep interest rates unchanged at the lowest level . ECB President Mario Draghi said at a press conference that inflation is likely to remain at current levels for a period but no signs of deflation in the euro area .

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