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Thursday, December 27, 2012

Hidrometerologi disaster expected to rise.

Hidrometerologi disaster expected to rise.



Hidrometerologi disaster expected to rise. Of the various types of disasters in Indonesia, such as geology (earthquakes and volcanic eruptions) as well as biological, hydro-meteorological disasters continue to dominate.

"It is estimated more than 80 per cent of hydro-meteorological disasters will happen from total disasters during 2013," said Sutopo Purwo Nugroho, Public Relations of the National Agency for Disaster Management (BNPB) in Jakarta, Thursday (27/12/2012).

Report of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 2012 said global warming has caused the tropical region extending to 18 degrees N / LS. This factor is the main cause of an increase in hydro-meteorological disasters.

"Vertically tall cumulonimbus clouds that cause heavy rains also taller. Previous high cloud tops is only 13 km. But now the 17 km. Consequently the energy and volume increases," said Sutopo.

Social conditions such as poverty and urbanization making people more vulnerable to hydro-meteorological disasters. Violation layout, use of flood plains and slopes as settlements contribute increasing disaster risk.

Based on forecasts Meteorolgi Agency, Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG), normal rainy season until May 2013. However, in the period from March to April, 404 districts / cities in Indonesia vulnerable to cyclones.

The trend continues memingkat tornado events. Since 2002-2011, the incidence of cyclones increased 28-fold. For the year 2012, there were 295 tornado events, climbed 36 percent from a year earlier.

Floods and landslides potentially occur until April 2013 with the highest potential in January-February 2013. 315 districts / cities are in areas vulnerable to medium-high flood while 270 others in areas prone to landslides medium-high heat.

Cold lava flood could potentially occur at Merapi, Gamalama, Bromo, Lokon and Soputan until 2013. Land and forest fires during the dry season could potentially occur in 8 provinces. Drought could potentially occur during August-October in Java, Bali and NTT. The earthquake and tsunami can not be predicted. Sutopo asked the public to remain alert, aware of the risks of disaster.

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