Compass Survey: secular figures such as Joko Widodo increasingly popular.

Compass Survey: secular figures such as Joko Widodo increasingly popular.

Vice Chairman of the Golkar Party Agung admit, looking at the rise of electability party PDI-P politician who is currently the Governor of DKI Jakarta Joko Widodo as the public wants presidential candidates. Moreover, electability Jokowi able to overtake Aburizal "Ical" Bakrie as candidate who carried the Golkar Party.

"It should be noted, Mr. Jokowi. Area he figures, can already skyrocketed as a national figure.'s Often the subject of evaluation for us," said Agung, after attending the National Gathering Golkar Party, Monday (26/08/2013) night.

Agung said, although often evaluated, according to him, electability Jokowi not too threatening for Ical. Coordinating Minister for People's Welfare is sure electability Ical can still be improved.

"Although there were (Ical) increased a little, but no progress is encouraging," he said.

Further, the Court said, electability is often overtaken Jokowi Ical is also not going to change the decision to carry Ical Golkar Party as a candidate. According to him, the figure Ical still be "sold" to match the personality Jokowi.

He said the long experience Ical factor in world politics, business, until the government became one of the advantages Ical than Jokowi.

"Long experience in the position as a national figure, and the infrastructure that has been proven," said Agung.

Jokowi dashed

Kompas survey results indicate the popularity of Joko Widodo (Jokowi) compared with other figures indicate increasingly strong demand of the people to the presence of a new generation of national political leadership that is not artificial. Such a conclusion appears from two public opinion surveys conducted periodically (longitudinal survey) to 1,400 respondents-voters in the 2014 election-randomly selected in 33 provinces.

The survey results indicate, the greater the proportion of voters who clearly state their preferences for national leaders figure they want. Conversely, the smaller the proportion of voters who have expressed choices and the less the proportion of voters who are reluctant to answer (consider a secret) a presidential candidate who is the figure he had hoped to lead the country.

The large proportion of voters who already have a preference for a presidential candidate significant figure only relying on the five names: Joko Widodo, Prabowo, Bakrie, Megawati Sukarnoputri and Jusuf Kalla. In the last survey (June 2013), was able to master the five-figure two-thirds of respondents. The rest (18.2 percent) is spread on the figure of 16 other presidential candidates.

Compared with the survey in December 2012, to the mastery of space-16 figure "bottom" of this popularity is relatively stagnant, indicating little chance to jump in the mobility of each figure the top (see graph). Of the five figures that are on board for the popularity of presidential candidates, Jokowi emergence as a new generation of leaders in the quest for the national stage draw scrutiny. He immediately topped with a considerable margin adrift with four other candidates whose names have been menasional for this.

Currently, the rate reached 32.5 percent Jokowi electability. Proportion was increased almost two-fold compared to the level of his election in December 2012. On the other hand, the level of refusal of respondents to him seemed minimal and getting smaller. Of all respondents, who did not want her to extremes become president just under 5 percent.

In contrast, the current base of support for the wider Jokowi. He is increasingly in demand by various circles, both in terms of demographic, socioeconomic, and political background of the voters. In terms of demographics, for example, the support of the various age, gender, or the domicile of the respondent Java and outside Java resting him.

His figure is also popular not only for those in a down economy, but also to the upper middle class. He was enthused by the varied backgrounds of political party voters, not just choked on PDIP sympathizers, the party place shelter. For supporters of respondents, a blend of characteristics and competencies possessed persona shown Jokowi has been the main reason for their choice rested. Sincerity, innocence, and simplicity shown Jokowi became public capital alluring personality.

Side of the personality combined with demonstrated competence so far in his political move. He is not elitist, fond of shooting straight down the issue. As a local leader, he was earning a policy in favor of the people and try to consistently solve the problems. Blend of personality and action figure that assessed the public not artificially get in the right place at the middle of the nation missed.

 The existence of the figure so far is still the greatest force in the increase or decrease in the popularity of political parties. Strong or weak role of the figure of mastery of political parties change the current configuration. Such indications appear from a comparison of two public opinion surveys Compass, which brought together 1,400 respondents in the 2014 election voters in 33 provinces.

The results of both surveys showed no change control configuration voters by political parties. Configuration changes to the popularity of political parties was strongly associated with the presence and performances of existing figures in the political parties. In this case, the political party that has a popular figure and will reap positive public support seen. Conversely, if it does not have a reliable figure or have a figure that is less pleasing in the eyes of the public, political parties tend not to move or even more resistant.

Increase the popularity of political parties that very significant happened in the PDI-P. Today, the popularity of PDI-P shot, put him in the top position, 23.6 percent of respondents interested. In the survey six months earlier, in December 2012, PDI-P won 13.3 percent and still compete with the Golkar Party

Also a significant increase in popularity occurred in Gerindra. The popularity of political parties has doubled. If the December survey Gerindra voters as much as 6.7 percent, six months later jumped to 13.6 percent. Proportions achieved it, Gerindra entered the top political parties support the acquisition as well as threaten the position of a political party over the other boards, such as the Democratic Party.

COMPASS IMAGES / Vitalis YOGI Trisna Jakarta Governor, Joko Widodo attended the function Rakernis 2013 in the Traffic Police Headquarters, South Jakarta, Tuesday (03/19/2013). The meeting discussed ways to provide security and traffic movement ahead of elections in 2014. The presence of the figure of Joko Widodo and Prabowo was closely associated with an increase in the popularity of both parties. Joko Widodo-that the results of this survey also recorded as the most popular figure, scooped up 32.5 percent of respondents support-successfully transforming herself a positive figure in the public eye as well as a positive icon for the PDI-P. So even Prabowo, in the public eye are identical to Gerindra. The high popularity of Prabowo by itself catapulted the popularity of Gerindra.

The survey results indicate, the charm of the two figures are also able to influence voters who are undecided party choice. Evidently, from the comparison of the two results of this survey. In the June survey, 36.3 percent of respondents listed still have not determine which political party of their choice. However, the survey six months later, the number of groups decreases, 13.4 percent lived.

Changing patterns of political attitude of respondents was based on their belief in the positive value between those two figures. Joko Widodo known personality, attitude or style of politics, and its performance in the management of the city, proved to attract the lion's share of public. Prabowo was assessed as being assertive and strong personality, was also assessed positively by respondents.

Unlike with some other political party that does not own or have the figure, but has not been able to boost the popularity of political parties. Golkar Party, for example, is one political party that has brought the general chairman, Bakrie. In the previous survey, Golkar perched at the top.

KOMPAS.com / Indra Akuntono DPP Chairman of Golkar Party Bakrie However, now step mastery of his influence in the public eye is relatively stagnant. Bakrie though already firmly put himself forward as a presidential candidate from Golkar and intensively introduce themselves and their programs to the public, so far only bear fruit on his electability increased from 5.9 percent to 8.8 percent. While the popularity of Golkar is currently at 16 per cent of respondents, which is not much different from the situation six months ago.

So did the political parties which, according to survey results occupy the middle or bottom board. The presence of the chairman or the person who joined in the party has not much impact increasing in popularity. Both PAN, PPP, PKB, or Nasdem as newcomers and Hanura that support the new figure, during the last six months, relatively stagnant position of political parties, did not show an increase.

If traced, the majority of survey respondents, the question of the presence and image of the figure is also the main determining factors of their rejection of political parties. These conditions were apparent on the Democratic Party and PKS. The Democrats, for example, in addition to the results of the survey indicate the position of the party winning the election of 2009 election this fall (election of only 9.3 per cent) in December 2012, also showed the highest resistance to political parties. At that time, 12.2 percent of respondents who most do not want this political party won the 2014 election.

Tempest parties who dragged the chairman of the political party leaders to the demands of the cases of corruption being the main reason respondents rejected the political parties. 16.1 Now that the respondents did not want political parties to win elections.

If the Democrats are constantly struggling with the increasing public resistance, MCC last six months it is facing a surge of negative sentiment. In the December 2012 survey, still very minimal refusal of respondents to the political parties. MCC is now with the Democrats became the largest political party respondent refusal rate. This is also due to the involvement of political party leaders figure in a corruption case.

In the short term, the role of figure can only contribute to a political party winner. However, reliance on any figure can also be addictive is spay party functions.