Political experts from UGM Hanta Yuda said Democratic Convention can be said of a political gamble , especially in recruiting 11 figure has now officially become the ruling party's convention attendees .
" There is a political gamble and a bit of a disconnect form of internal party cadre . Indeed regeneration had started at the beginning but towards the climactic moment in the context of the election , the internal cadres restricted or eliminated by figures outside the party , " said Hanta in a discussion on Media Center Commission , on Friday .
Comments from the Executive Director of the Institute Pol - Tracking emerged in response to the number of parties including the Democratic leaders are trying to recruit outside the party . Both for the purposes of legislative or presidential elections as the Democratic Convention .
According to him , there is a tendency of the party doing the internal regeneration . However , in the current election approaching political parties actually take pragmatic measures to arrest various popular figures .
" Even so , the popularity factor is not a major determinant . Example occurred in the 2009 election . Currently it from about 40 artists ' nyaleg ' apparently only 18 people actually strolled into the parliament , " he said .
He said there are several factors that affect the desirability of which is the artist's integrity and acceptability .
" Popularity is not enough . Then there must be other contributing factors such as integrity , electability and acceptability . "
Hanta appreciation for PD to hold a convention because of providing a place for the public to decide who will advance candidates in the presidential election .
"The Convention is one of the pathways that allow a person to enter noninternal party . "
However , Hanta also criticized the convention mechanism .
" There is no guarantee that PD Convention will take place throughout the election period . Means of public involvement in determining capresnya not guaranteed to recur in the next issue of the election . Moreover, the convention has a weakness against the invitation of participants in which the contestants who participate are not through the invitation for registration general , " he said .
An Open Convention
The Advisory Board of the Center for Strategic and International Studies ( CSIS ) Jeffrie Geovanie since long ago even suggested that the convention is open enrollment .
That is, he said, the Candidate of the Convention was not only followed cadre of Democrats . By doing so , further Jeffrie , alternative figures of the new generation can join the convention .
"I understand the Democrats will make the convention opens . Course Democrats do not restrict generation . But obviously open to a new generation , which is the generation of the majority of voters , " he said .
He also reminded that networking was held open and democratic candidate . "My hope Democrats open the mechanism and determining the final outcome of this convention . Should be. Otherwise it would backfire , " said Jeffrie .
Jeffrie recorded as an observer who first suggested that political parties hold conventions to capture the presidential candidates . He hopes that determines who the presidential candidate of the convention attendees it is the people , the electorate at large .
"If the national voter surveys that form the basis in making decisions , then the candidate set will reflect the aspirations of the national electorate , " he explained .
Deputy Secretary General of the Democratic Party Saan Mustopa requested that all state officials decided to retreat from its position when participating in the Convention on the Democratic Presidential Candidate . This is necessary so that the state functions are not abandoned .
"If the public understood the problem that the task has been interrupted , all the backward state officials to participate in the convention , " Saan said in Parliament Complex , Friday ( 13/09/2013 ) .
By Saan , state officials who resigned not only from the minister , but also convention attendees who now occupy positions in the House of Representatives , Regional Representatives Council and the State Audit Board . Besides can set the time , Saan seen , pullback officials worry the state could eliminate the use of public facilities .
" During this time , the public is very worried state officials using state facilities for use by each facility , " said Saan .
Convention committee has set 11 participants . They are still a state official is SOE Minister Dahlan Iskan , Trade Minister Gita Wirjawan , House Speaker Marzuki Alie , Chairman of the Council Irman Gusman , CPC members Masykur Ali Musa , the Governor of North Sulawesi Sinyo Harry Sarundayang , member of Commission I Hayono Isman , and Ambassador Indonesia to the United States Dino Patti Djalal .
Pressure for convention attendees ministers quit the cabinet earlier leveled Daily Democrat Party Chairman Syarif Hasan . He believes ministers should focus on campaigning . Syarief argued , would be very difficult for ministers to concentrate if you have to keep campaigning .
"If you want to be president , should be the focus right . President so it is really remarkable , " Syarif said at the presidential office , Tuesday ( 09/10/2013 ) .
Based on his experience as a minister , admitted Syarif weighing devote time to activities outside the ministry . Instead , he said , the President does not want to go forward in the election ministers interfere in ministerial duties .
In the midst of the Indonesian economy is depressed , some economy -related ministers in the name of United Indonesia Cabinet II just join the Democratic Party Presidential Candidate of the Convention . President asked to be assertive .
" In the midst of an uncertain economy , the President had dared to give an option to the ministers participating in the Convention , to choose to focus on the post of minister or backward ( of ministers ) to follow convention , " said Chairman of the National Mandate Party DPP Bara Hasibuan , in a press release , Friday ( 13/09/2013 ) .
Bara argues , the participation of some economy -related ministers at the convention can be seen as an indication of indecision President . In the middle of the depressed economic situation and there is no sign of an end , he said , the President should ensure economic team in his cabinet to focus on work . " Should all ministers reaffirmed the commitment to put the national interest above political ambitions or political purposes , " he said .
Democratic presidential candidate of the Convention , which will start soon , the minister put two names as participants . They are the Minister of Trade Gita Wirjawan and State Enterprises Minister Dahlan Iskan .
Minister , said Bara , is assistant to the President in the implementation of government programs . "So if there are one or two ministers could not focus on her work as negligent even participate in a convention , it is the responsibility of the President as his boss , " he continued .
Everyone , I'm Bara , did have a constitutional right to participate in the political candidature . However , it must be executed with the right ethics . According to him , the minister who has the ambition to be president should take office . " It's because of all the ministers are required to work in a compact cabinet , especially in the economic situation like this . If it were both busy promoting themselves , feared the performance of the cabinet will be dropped , " said Bara .
Democratic Candidates convention scheduled to take place starting 15 September 2013 until the end of December 2013 . In that time there will be a variety of activities , such as the introduction of candidates , media interviews , and surveys the electability of the candidate survey conducted by three agencies .
At the beginning of January to April 2014 , the convention will enter the advanced stage . In that period will be conducted in-depth interviews to the candidates , the convention committee and involving another character as an interviewer .
Antarkandidat debate will also take place on the continuation period . Thereafter , the survey will be held to determine the final outcome of the convention. Society claimed will have a big role in determining the winner of the convention , with reference to the results of the survey . All participants were required to make the convention a special account -related conventions , and funding " campaign " they claimed to come from a lawful source .
Deputy Secretary General of the Democratic Party Saan Mustopa sure at the end of December and beginning of 2014 there will be a new figure that rivals electability Jakarta Governor Joko Widodo ( Jokowi ) . Jokowi , called Saan , will not be allowed to run its own presidential candidate in a number of existing surveys .
" It's Jokowi was on the point of maximum , maybe he will not ( Jokowi ) left running alone . Later there must be a catch . I estimate that by the end of the year or early in 2014 there must have been , " Saan said in Parliament Complex , Jakarta , Friday ( 09/13/2013 ) .
By Saan , the popularity of alternative candidates who will compete Jokowi it has not yet maximal . " That is not maximized , will gradually crept up . While that was on top of him will likely stagnate or it could be down because of an event or issue , "said Saan .
Thus , do not worry if Jokowi Saan are now succeeding in most surveys . Convention participants Democratic presidential candidate , said Saan , can be will overtake Jokowi electability .
" Currently, participants are still prepared . Among the 11 participants of the convention , I am sure that there will include the offset Jokowi , " he said .
Rajai Jokowi survey
Kompas survey of two public opinion surveys conducted periodically ( longitudinal survey ) of the 1,400 respondents -be voters in the 2014 election - which was chosen at random in 33 provinces showed that the greater the proportion of voters who clearly state their preferences for national leadership figure they wish .
Conversely , the smaller the proportion of voters who have expressed choices and the less the proportion of voters who are reluctant to answer ( consider a secret ) a presidential candidate who is the figure he had hoped to lead the country .
The large proportion of voters who already have a preference for a presidential candidate figure significantly only by the five names : Joko Widodo , Prabowo , Bakrie, Megawati Sukarnoputri and Jusuf Kalla .
In the last survey ( June 2013 ) , was able to master the five- figure two- thirds of respondents . The rest ( 18.2 percent ) is spread on the figure of 16 other presidential candidates . Compared with the survey in December 2012 , to the mastery of space - 16 figure " bottom " of this popularity is relatively stagnant , which indicates little chance of mobility of each figure to jump on board.
Of the five figures that are on board for the popularity of presidential candidates , Jokowi emergence as a new generation of leaders in the quest for the national stage draw scrutiny . He immediately topped with a considerable margin adrift with four other candidates whose names have been menasional for this .
Currently , the rate reached 32.5 percent Jokowi electability . Proportion was increased almost two -fold compared to the level of his election in December 2012 . On the other hand , the level of refusal of respondents to him seemed minimal and getting smaller . Of all respondents , who did not want her to extremes become president just under 5 percent .
In contrast , the current base of support for the wider Jokowi . He is increasingly in demand by various circles , both in terms of demographic , socioeconomic , and political background of the voters . In terms of demographics , for example , the support of the various age , gender , or the domicile of the respondent Java and outside Java resting him .
His figure is also popular not only for those in a down economy , but also to the upper middle class . He was enthused by the varied backgrounds of political party voters , not just choked on PDIP sympathizers , the party place shelter .
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