Indonesian Forum Forward (Forima) released the results of a survey pascadebat vice presidential candidate 1 and 2 which took place on June 9, 2014 and June 15, 2014. In the survey results, pair-Hatta Rajasa Prabowo has a better performance than pair-Joko Widodo Jusuf Kalla.
"Prabowo pair-Hatta 45.7 percent and 41.4 JK Jokowi-percent. Pair Prabowo-Hatta slightly superior. With 4.3 percent, while the undecided respondents 12.9 percent," said researcher Forima Dicky Andika when presenting the results of the survey in Gren Alia Prapatan, Kwitang, Central Jakarta, Wednesday (06/25/2014).
Dick explained, based on an assessment of each candidate, the average respondent gave good ratings to Prabowo 63.4 percent, 32.4 percent rate it very good, and the bad judge of 4.1 percent.
Hatta in the first presidential debate, based on the results of this survey, respondents scored an average of 73.9 percent overall good, very good 19.5 percent, 6.5 percent worse, and 0.3 percent is very bad.
Meanwhile, Jokowi performance in the debate, according to a survey Forima, assessed by the respondents was 61.9 percent good, 30 percent excellent, 8 percent poor, and very poor 0.2 percent. Meanwhile Jusuf Kalla, said Dicky, assessed both by respondents was 68.8 percent, rated excellent by 27.3 percent of respondents rated poorly by 3.5 percent, and 0.2 percent is very bad.
Responding to the survey results, field a successful team mate Prabowo policies and programs-Hatta, Dradjad Wibowo, who also attended the event, said, when seen from the average poor judgment and very bad, Hatta 6.8 percent gain, while JK, only got 3.7 percent. This, he said, will be used to prepare the correction and evaluation Hatta in the fourth debate later.
"Judging by the results of this survey, we should be able to make Pak Hatta better in the fourth debate," said Dradjad.
The study was conducted using purposive sampling method (selected respondents were young voters with a lifespan of 17-29 years) with through direct telephone interviews with 900 respondents. Study was conducted in 20 provincial capitals of Indonesia on June 1 to June 17 2014 95 percent confidence level and a margin of error of 4 percent.
Coalition Red White more convinced Prabowo-Hatta Rajasa will win the presidential election of 2014. Belief that saw evaluation after the third presidential debate, Sunday (22/6).
"We are increasingly confident Prabowo-Hatta win. Debate after each event, survey the higher the couple's electability," said DPP Chairman of the National Mandate Party (PAN) Saleh Partaonan Daulay, Monday (23/6).
Saleh said, surveying Center for Policy Studies and Strategic Development (Puskaptis) after the third round of candidate debates showed superiority Prabowo-Hatta. The difference is around three percent of Joko Widodo-Jusuf Kalla (JK Jokowi).
Pious hope, the trend of increasing electability-Hatta Prabowo pair could continue to rise. So that at the end of June could lead above eight percent to 10 percent.
"Of course we hope that this pair could excel above 20 percent to 25 percent. Was not something that is impossible," he said.
Moreover, according to Saleh, all survey conducted ahead of the 2014 presidential election electability acknowledges Prabowo-Hatta trend continues to rise.
"We believe that until the final seconds later, the couple had farther ahead," he said.
Saleh said, kudos to Jokowi Prabowo shown an attitude of humility as well statesmanship.
"He did not hesitate appreciate anyone's opinion in the context of building the nation, even though from its competitors," he said.
Saleh suspect the opinions of Prabowo's attitude would be very diverse. But there is nothing wrong with it. Moreover, Indonesia's presidential debate is not merely see the candidate answers but also the appearance and politeness.
"Although not designed that way, of course we loved it and hope it can draw support primarily from the 'swing voters'. If true, this means can be categorized as one of the advantages Prabowo," he said.
Unified Data Center (GDP) released the results of a survey in 2014 Presidential Election. Survey was conducted in seven major cities in Indonesia, namely, Medan, Jakarta, Bandung, Semarang, Surabaya, Balikpapan and Makassar. As a result, Prabowo electability-Hatta Rajasa continues to increase.
GDP senior researcher Agus Herta S said current-pair Joko Widodo Jusuf Kalla was slightly superior to Prabowo-Hatta. But the results of a survey done, electability pair Joko Widodo-Kalla stagnant, while Prabowo-Hatta continued to rise.
He said, the difference electability Prabowo-Hatta with Joko Widodo-Kalla until the end of May 2014 further narrowed. The difference in the two is only about 5.7 percent, which is electability Joko Widodo-Kalla 32.2 percent and Prabowo-Hatta 26 percent.
"Leading the Joko-Kalla not know until when., But if you see a trend like this, and not anticipated by the team, then it is possible to overtake Prabowo-Hatta," Agus said when presenting the results of the survey at Hotel Puri Denpasar, Kuningan, Jakarta South, Tuesday, June 10, 2014.
Survey shows Joko Widodo GDP-Kalla excel in three major cities in Indonesia, namely:
1. Semarang
Joko Widodo-Kalla: 32.4 percent
Prabowo-Hatta: 14.9 percent
2. Balikpapan
Joko Widodo-Kalla: 32.9 percent
Prabowo-Hatta: 18.8 percent
3. Makassar
Joko Widodo-Kalla: 53.8 percent
Prabowo-Hatta: 17.8 percent
While the pair-Hatta Prabowo excel in the two cities. The following data:
1. Medan
Prabowo-Hatta: 54.9 percent
Joko Widodo-Kalla: 26.6 percent
2. Bandung
Prabowo-Hatta: 30.9 percent
Joko Widodo-Kalla: 16 percent.
He said, of superior mate-vice presidential candidate in cities such as share of regional heads in each city.
Then in two other cities, Surabaya and Jakarta electability second presidential couple was very tight with the percentage, in Surabaya, Joko Widodo-Kalla 26.5 percent while 27.4 percent Prabowo-Hatta Jakarta Joko Widodo and-Kalla 27.7 percent, while Prabowo-Hatta 26.6 percent.
"In other cities there are many swing voters. Swing voters If this run-Hatta camp Prabowo, then this could be a threat to the camp-Joko Widodo Jusuf Kalla. However if swing voters can be drawn by Joko-Kalla, then in two cities they can still excel, "said Agus.
Agus added, in addition to the influence of the head of the local area, there are three political parties which have strong cadres in the seven cities namely, PDI-P, Gerindra, and MCC.
He said, Prabowo-Hatta superior in Bandung West Java showed a lot has regional head of the MCC.
But there is something unique in some cities, such as in Makassar and in Central Java, which is not a strong base PDI, but Joko Widodo-Kalla-Hatta superior to Prabowo.
"Two areas that have unique, because Kalla strong figure. Wherever there (Makassar) whoever the president, Mr. Jusuf Kalla remain that be an option," said Agus.
GDP survey was conducted on 26 May-1 June 2014, with face to face interviews (face to face) using a structured questionnaire to 2,688 respondents. The survey was conducted in seven major cities of the seven provinces in Indonesia. The margin of error for the survey is + / - 5 percent per city..........
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